{
  "id": "onboarding-defeated",
  "mode": "consulting",
  "coaching_invited": false,
  "brief": "Improve onboarding",
  "desired_result": "New users complete the first task",
  "owner": "Product lead",
  "lenses": [
    "constraint_hunter",
    "veil_piercer"
  ],
  "ordinary": {
    "claim": "Clear instruction may be sufficient",
    "check": "Observe first-task completion after instruction",
    "status": "checked",
    "evidence": [
      "e1"
    ]
  },
  "return_cut": {
    "observer": "Analyst",
    "statement": "I may favor redesign because it gives my analysis a larger role",
    "defeater": "When a product-lead-owned comparison finds instruction sufficient, I recommend keeping instruction and closing this analysis",
    "status": "hypothesis"
  },
  "evidence": [
    {
      "id": "e1",
      "statement": "In this fictional comparison, users still failed after clear instruction",
      "source": "Fictional comparison A; no real participants",
      "kind": "observation"
    },
    {
      "id": "e2",
      "statement": "In a later fictional comparison, instruction alone performed as well",
      "source": "Fictional comparison B; no real participants",
      "kind": "observation"
    }
  ],
  "readings": [
    {
      "id": "r1",
      "claim": "Flow complexity prevents first-task completion",
      "status": "supported",
      "response": "unasked",
      "support": [
        "e1"
      ],
      "counterevidence": [],
      "defeat_test": {
        "method": "Compare instruction with a simpler flow",
        "observation": "Instruction alone performs as well as the simpler flow",
        "status": "defeated",
        "evidence": [
          "e2"
        ]
      }
    }
  ],
  "outcome": {
    "kind": "change",
    "action": "Trial a simpler flow",
    "reason": "The declared record supports a flow problem",
    "reading_ids": [
      "r1"
    ],
    "stop_rule": "Reconsider if instruction alone performs as well"
  }
}